"As a technician, I feel that there are few analysts that offer value for me, but you do. Your work on Gold ratios has helped my analysis greatly." --Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT (The Daily Gold) 4.9.10

Monday, July 13, 2009

SRS (RE Short) - Back test in process

I will probably never be known as a perma-bear, and if I have identified one weakness in my financial market makeup it is that I tend to get a bit emotional when short the markets. I think I know why that is too. It is because, just like the gold bugs who are sometimes criticized here, I think I know the truth about how what I consider an illegitimate financial system runs. When I take morally superior positions against that system it really pisses me off when it flies in my face.

I am just telling the truth. I tend to get a lot of things right in the markets and usually net out very nicely in my trading and investments. But this is a weakness.

All that said, I continue to hold several short positions including the ultrashort real estate etf, SRS shown here. They are back testing the breakout this morning but I don't buy it. Thus far my shorts (China, real estate, financials, euro and oil which has been closed out) have been an easier hold than normal I guess for two main reasons; 1) They are just acting normal, which I can deal with chart wise and 2) My macro research points toward events in line with a short term bearish stance.

Anyway, here's the chart showing the back test.