"As a technician, I feel that there are few analysts that offer value for me, but you do. Your work on Gold ratios has helped my analysis greatly." --Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT (The Daily Gold) 4.9.10

Tuesday, August 3, 2010

ISM at a glance

"The deflationists will likely get cast aside once again when asset prices respond to the massive inflation that occurred out of 2008 and the one that may be being promoted right now in light of recent deflation talk coming out of high places. It is certainly possible that this is the start of an inflation-fueled rebound. Several indications in my work say "not so fast", Prechter and friends get to hold court for a while longer yet just to make sure the optimal amount of players are on the wrong side of the equation.

But my 'boots on the ground' observation is contrary this idea."
  --Boots on the Ground
Next, we'll look at an updated chart of Aloca...
WHAT RESPONDENTS ARE SAYING...  [what I will say is that business remains brisk, with American manufacturing far from dead as the financial types who see through the lens of abstraction have claimed for years]
  • "Business in July was strong, the best month since October 2008." (Fabricated Metal Products)
  • "Slow economy has killed sales for new equipment orders." (Machinery)
  • "Quoting activity and sales are slow, and backlog is dropping." (Computer & Electronic Products)
  • "Business continues to be sluggish and has fallen slightly as the economic ills continue." (Nonmetallic Mineral Products)
  • "Retailers are still unwilling to gamble on inventory." (Printing & Related Support Activities)
MANUFACTURING AT A GLANCE
JULY 2010


Index
Series
Index
July
Series
Index
June
Percentage
Point
Change


Direction
Rate
of
Change

Trend*
(Months)
PMI 55.5 56.2 -0.7 Growing Slower 12
New Orders 53.5 58.5 -5.0 Growing Slower 13
Production 57.0 61.4 -4.4 Growing Slower 14
Employment 58.6 57.8 +0.8 Growing Faster 8
Supplier Deliveries 58.3 57.3 +1.0 Slowing Faster 14
Inventories 50.2 45.8 +4.4 Growing From Contracting 1
Customers' Inventories 39.0 38.0 +1.0 Too Low Slower 16
Prices 57.5 57.0 +0.5 Increasing Faster 13
Backlog of Orders 54.5 57.0 -2.5 Growing Slower 7
Exports 56.5 56.0 +0.5 Growing Faster 13
Imports 52.5 56.5 -4.0 Growing Slower 11
OVERALL ECONOMY Growing Slower 15
Manufacturing Sector Growing Slower 12
*Number of months moving in current direction