"As a technician, I feel that there are few analysts that offer value for me, but you do. Your work on Gold ratios has helped my analysis greatly." --Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT (The Daily Gold) 4.9.10

Monday, March 7, 2011

Small caps illustrate a tough market

Look, we all want to get bearish right?  Today was bearish, yeh?  Well, pardon me if I try not to get whipsawed by getting bearish just yet.  The chart of one of the leaders (RUT fund IWM, which would be expected to lead a correction) has not yet done anything on the inflammatory Libya/oil hysteria that it did not do on the inflammatory Egypt/oil hysteria.  The chart shows the two and the moving averages have not yet broken down.

On the bearish side, MACD does diverge negatively and I would say confirmation would come with a loss of the lower line (EMA 50) and associated support.


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